Shrewsbury Town vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shrewsbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
STF
1 - 1
COV
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
ROT
2 - 2
STF
54%
24%
21%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
STF
2 - 0
SWI
28%
28%
44%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
LEY
3 - 0
STF
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
STF
1 - 3
BOL
16%
22%
62%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
OLD
0 - 1
TRA
50%
26%
24%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
OLD
3 - 1
POR
42%
27%
32%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
POS
2 - 1
OLD
76%
15%
9%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
OLD
0 - 1
WAL
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
OLD
0 - 1
DER
29%
25%
46%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |