Shrewsbury Town vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
48.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shrewsbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
STE
1 - 0
STF
64%
23%
14%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
OLD
1 - 0
STF
30%
25%
45%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
AFC
1 - 1
STF
28%
25%
46%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
STF
2 - 1
DER
17%
22%
61%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
STF
1 - 2
LEI
7%
16%
77%
|
56 | 87 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 0
NOT
35%
24%
41%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
POS
1 - 0
NOT
72%
16%
12%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
BOS
2 - 1
NOT
23%
20%
57%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
YOR
2 - 2
NOT
14%
17%
69%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
MSV
3 - 1
NOT
38%
23%
40%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |