Shrewsbury Town vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
40.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shrewsbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2012 |
BCF
2 - 2
STF
43%
26%
32%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
STF
2 - 1
CUM
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
CRA
2 - 2
STF
67%
19%
14%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
OLD
1 - 0
STF
42%
27%
32%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
STF
2 - 2
MKD
22%
27%
51%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2012 |
NOT
0 - 3
ROT
58%
22%
20%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
NOT
1 - 2
BRE
51%
25%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
YEO
0 - 0
NOT
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
ROT
1 - 1
NOT
33%
25%
42%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
NOT
1 - 0
SWI
45%
26%
29%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |