Shrewsbury Town vs Northampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shrewsbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
STF
1 - 0
BUR
28%
25%
48%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
AFC
1 - 0
STF
17%
23%
61%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
STF
2 - 1
CAR
20%
22%
58%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
STF
2 - 0
WOL
20%
23%
57%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
STF
2 - 1
ASV
19%
23%
58%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 0
DER
19%
22%
60%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2017 |
FRO
0 - 4
NOR
16%
21%
63%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2017 |
NOR
4 - 1
BCS
65%
19%
16%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
NOR
0 - 0
GIL
48%
24%
29%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
BCF
3 - 0
NOR
44%
25%
31%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |