Shurtan vs Qizilqum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shurtan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
BUX
2 - 2
SHO
36%
26%
38%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
SHO
2 - 2
QOQ
64%
20%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
OLM
3 - 1
SHO
50%
24%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
SHO
0 - 0
AND
72%
18%
11%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
NAS
3 - 1
SHO
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
QIZ
2 - 3
MAS
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
QIZ
1 - 0
BUX
45%
26%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
QOQ
1 - 0
QIZ
33%
27%
41%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
QIZ
3 - 1
OLM
34%
26%
41%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
AND
3 - 2
QIZ
34%
26%
40%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |