Shurtan vs Qizilqum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
29.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shurtan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
NAS
0 - 0
SHO
56%
24%
21%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2009 |
SHO
1 - 0
NAS
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
NAV
2 - 1
SHO
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
SHO
0 - 1
50%
25%
25%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
SOG
0 - 0
SHO
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2010 |
QIZ
0 - 1
MET
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2009 |
NEF
3 - 0
QIZ
50%
23%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2009 |
QIZ
1 - 2
BUN
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2009 |
MAS
6 - 1
QIZ
44%
26%
30%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -2 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
QIZ
1 - 1
XOR
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |