Shurtan vs Aral Nukus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
20.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+97%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
6º
3º
31
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 51 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
2º
|
39 | 49 |
2º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 42 |
3º
|
48% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 38 |
4º
|
42.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
31 | 38 |
5º
|
52% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 25 |
6º
|
64.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 22 |
7º
|
39.5% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 20 |
8º
|
62.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
14.5% | 2% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
85% | 98% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shurtan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
MAS
3 - 1
SHO
48%
28%
25%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
SHO
3 - 1
DOS
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
XOR
0 - 0
SHO
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
SHO
1 - 2
BUX
48%
27%
26%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
QOQ
0 - 3
SHO
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Aral Nukus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
ORO
1 - 1
FKO
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 21 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2024 |
ORO
0 - 0
QOQ
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2024 |
MAS
3 - 0
ORO
53%
25%
22%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
ORO
2 - 1
DOS
38%
25%
37%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
QIZ
2 - 4
ORO
71%
17%
11%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |