Shurtan vs Aral Nukus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
6.8%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+108%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
2º
7º
5º
22
4º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
23 | 26 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
22 | 26 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 12 |
11º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shurtan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FKL
1 - 0
SHO
69%
20%
11%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SHO
5 - 2
FKA
83%
12%
6%
|
50 | 20 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
PFK
2 - 1
SHO
10%
19%
71%
|
50 | 18 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SHO
3 - 0
URF
85%
11%
4%
|
50 | 22 | 28 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MAS
2 - 1
SHO
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Aral Nukus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2023 |
ORO
2 - 0
GIJ
50%
21%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2023 |
QOQ
1 - 0
ORO
80%
14%
7%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
XOR
2 - 2
ORO
78%
15%
7%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
ORO
0 - 1
DSA
13%
22%
65%
|
33 | 59 | 26 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ORO
2 - 0
FKL
10%
19%
72%
|
31 | 64 | 33 | +2 |