Shurtan vs Neftchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
20.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shurtan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
FKL
0 - 1
SHO
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2010 |
SHO
4 - 0
LOK
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +2 |
| 03 Jul. 2010 |
LOK
2 - 0
SHO
23%
23%
53%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
SHO
1 - 1
PAK
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2010 |
PAK
1 - 2
SHO
62%
20%
18%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
NEF
1 - 1
AND
56%
22%
21%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2010 |
AND
1 - 0
NEF
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2010 |
BUN
4 - 1
NEF
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2010 |
NEF
2 - 3
BUN
50%
23%
27%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2010 |
LOK
2 - 4
NEF
28%
25%
47%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | +1 |