Shurtan vs Dostlik Tashkent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
44.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
6º
4º
11
7º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 52 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 49 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 41 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 39 |
4º
|
38% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 38 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 28 |
6º
|
84% | |
|
|
8º
|
11 | 21 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 19 |
8º
|
73% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
98% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 74% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 26% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shurtan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
XOR
2 - 1
SHO
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
SHO
0 - 0
BUX
52%
24%
24%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
MAS
1 - 0
SHO
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
SHO
2 - 1
DSA
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
XOR
0 - 0
SHO
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Dostlik Tashkent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
DOS
1 - 2
FKO
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 6 | 58 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
ORO
1 - 0
DOS
22%
24%
54%
|
64 | 35 | 29 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
DOS
0 - 5
SOG
45%
23%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
DOS
0 - 5
PAK
49%
23%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
ORO
4 - 1
DOS
9%
14%
77%
|
67 | 26 | 41 | -1 |