Shurtan vs Buxoro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
23.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
3º
6º
4º
42
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 52 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
42 | 49 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 41 |
3º
|
51% | |
|
|
3º
|
31 | 39 |
4º
|
38% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 38 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 28 |
6º
|
84% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 21 |
7º
|
64% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 19 |
8º
|
73% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1.5% | 95% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
98% | 5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shurtan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2023 |
MAS
1 - 0
SHO
47%
26%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
SHO
2 - 1
DSA
30%
26%
44%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
XOR
0 - 0
SHO
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
SHO
1 - 1
ORO
80%
13%
7%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FKL
1 - 0
SHO
69%
20%
11%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Buxoro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
AND
1 - 0
BUX
64%
22%
15%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
BUX
0 - 1
OLM
20%
25%
55%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2023 |
BUX
0 - 1
FKO
29%
26%
44%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SOG
1 - 0
BUX
61%
23%
16%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BUX
0 - 1
PAK
18%
24%
58%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |