Shonan Bellmare vs V-Varen Nagasaki analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
40.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shonan Bellmare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
SHI
4 - 2
SHO
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
VIS
3 - 4
SHO
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
SHO
1 - 3
VEG
29%
29%
42%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
SHO
1 - 2
KAR
17%
26%
57%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
URA
0 - 1
SHO
78%
15%
7%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
V-Varen Nagasaki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
VVA
3 - 0
NAG
55%
25%
21%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
SAG
2 - 1
VVA
51%
25%
25%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
CER
3 - 1
VVA
73%
18%
9%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2018 |
KAA
2 - 1
VVA
68%
21%
12%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
VVA
0 - 2
SAN
32%
28%
40%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |