Shonan Bellmare vs Tokushima Vortis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
67%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
17.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shonan Bellmare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SHO
0 - 2
AVI
18%
23%
60%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
FCT
3 - 0
SHO
85%
11%
4%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
SHO
6 - 0
YGU
76%
15%
9%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
SHO
1 - 2
GAM
9%
17%
74%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
KAA
1 - 0
SHO
88%
9%
3%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Tokushima Vortis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MON
2 - 1
TOK
23%
28%
49%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
GIR
0 - 1
TOK
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
TOK
2 - 0
GIR
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
TOK
6 - 0
FCT
81%
14%
5%
|
59 | 8 | 51 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
TOK
3 - 1
TOK
50%
26%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |