Shonan Bellmare vs Thespa Gunma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shonan Bellmare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
VEN
2 - 3
SHO
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
SHO
2 - 2
TOK
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
ROA
1 - 0
SHO
24%
25%
51%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
SHO
1 - 0
SAG
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
KAT
0 - 3
SHO
28%
28%
45%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Thespa Gunma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2009 |
THE
1 - 2
AVI
45%
26%
29%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2009 |
FCT
3 - 2
THE
77%
16%
8%
|
59 | 80 | 21 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
CER
5 - 0
THE
75%
16%
9%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
THE
2 - 1
FAG
62%
22%
17%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2009 |
VEG
2 - 0
THE
63%
23%
14%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |