Shonan Bellmare vs Roasso Kumamoto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shonan Bellmare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2009 |
FAG
0 - 1
SHO
21%
26%
53%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
SHO
5 - 0
KAT
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
TOK
0 - 0
SHO
25%
25%
49%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
SHO
1 - 1
THE
73%
18%
10%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
MIT
1 - 5
SHO
28%
27%
45%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Roasso Kumamoto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2009 |
ROA
1 - 2
SAG
38%
28%
34%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
GIF
1 - 0
ROA
37%
27%
37%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
ROA
0 - 3
CER
23%
24%
53%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
TOC
1 - 1
ROA
48%
26%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ROA
0 - 1
VEN
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |