Shonan Bellmare vs Omiya Ardija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
66.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shonan Bellmare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SHO
1 - 2
VIS
51%
23%
26%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
NAG
0 - 1
SHO
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SHO
0 - 2
URA
30%
24%
46%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 2
SHO
71%
18%
11%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
KAW
4 - 4
SHO
72%
17%
12%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Omiya Ardija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
OMI
1 - 1
JUB
41%
25%
34%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2016 |
VEN
0 - 0
OMI
7%
18%
75%
|
61 | 26 | 35 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
OMI
1 - 0
NAG
80%
14%
7%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
OMI
1 - 5
SAN
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2016 |
GAM
2 - 1
OMI
18%
24%
58%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | -2 |