Shonan Bellmare vs Omiya Ardija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
37.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shonan Bellmare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
SHO
1 - 1
SHI
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SHO
1 - 1
SAG
29%
26%
45%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
FCY
4 - 2
SHO
68%
20%
12%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 3
SHO
23%
25%
52%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SHO
1 - 0
GAI
69%
19%
12%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Omiya Ardija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2013 |
OMI
0 - 2
JUB
44%
25%
32%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
OMI
1 - 1
ALB
54%
26%
20%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
JUB
0 - 1
OMI
57%
24%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
OMI
2 - 2
SHI
39%
27%
34%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
OMI
2 - 3
KAR
32%
25%
44%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |