Shonan Bellmare vs Kyoto Sanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
11.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shonan Bellmare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1996 |
SAN
3 - 2
SHO
48%
24%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
SHO
3 - 0
SHI
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
FLU
1 - 0
SHO
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1996 |
SHO
3 - 1
CER
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
KAA
2 - 0
SHO
70%
17%
13%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Kyoto Sanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1996 |
KYO
2 - 1
GAM
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1996 |
KYO
2 - 1
SAN
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1996 |
SHI
0 - 2
KYO
77%
15%
8%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1996 |
KYO
0 - 1
FLU
24%
24%
52%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1996 |
CER
2 - 1
KYO
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |