Shonan Bellmare vs Fagiano Okayama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
16.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shonan Bellmare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
KAR
1 - 1
SHO
54%
24%
22%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
FCY
4 - 1
SHO
70%
18%
11%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2023 |
URA
4 - 1
SHO
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SHO
0 - 6
SAG
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
SHO
2 - 3
KAW
20%
22%
59%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
TOK
1 - 1
FAG
40%
29%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
FAG
2 - 3
FUJ
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
FAG
1 - 0
MIT
52%
26%
23%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
VEN
0 - 0
FAG
50%
27%
23%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
OIT
1 - 0
FAG
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |