Shonan Bellmare vs Fagiano Okayama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
33.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shonan Bellmare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
SHO
1 - 0
EHI
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
NAG
3 - 2
SHO
47%
25%
28%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
SHO
3 - 0
MIT
40%
29%
31%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
SHO
4 - 2
ZWE
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
KYO
0 - 0
SHO
54%
26%
21%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fagiano Okayama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
FAG
2 - 1
THE
68%
21%
11%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
MIT
1 - 0
FAG
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
JEF
3 - 1
FAG
43%
27%
31%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
FAG
0 - 3
OIT
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
FAG
0 - 1
KAM
61%
24%
15%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | -1 |