League Cup Quarter-finals
Global 5-2
Shonan Bellmare vs Cerezo Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
54.1%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shonan Bellmare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
VVA
1 - 3
SHO
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SHO
0 - 0
FCT
25%
28%
47%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
KAW
3 - 1
SHO
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
SHO
0 - 2
VIS
22%
27%
51%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
VEG
4 - 1
SHO
61%
22%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
URA
1 - 2
CER
50%
25%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CER
0 - 1
SAN
52%
25%
24%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
CER
0 - 1
VEN
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
VVA
0 - 2
CER
15%
24%
61%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
CER
3 - 1
SHI
45%
26%
30%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |