Shonan Bellmare vs Cerezo Osaka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shonan Bellmare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2007 |
SHO
2 - 0
TOK
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2007 |
KYO
2 - 1
SHO
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
SHO
1 - 1
EHI
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2007 |
THE
0 - 1
SHO
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jul. 2007 |
MIT
0 - 2
SHO
26%
27%
47%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Cerezo Osaka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
CON
3 - 0
CER
61%
22%
18%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
CER
2 - 1
KYO
43%
25%
32%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
CER
4 - 3
VEG
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2007 |
TOK
4 - 0
CER
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
CER
2 - 1
THE
75%
16%
8%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |