Shonan Bellmare vs Avispa Fukuoka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shonan Bellmare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
THE
1 - 3
SHO
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
SHO
2 - 1
KYO
28%
25%
47%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2011 |
KYO
1 - 0
SHO
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
KAW
0 - 1
SHO
84%
11%
4%
|
54 | 81 | 27 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
TOK
2 - 2
SHO
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MAC
0 - 1
AVI
49%
25%
27%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
AVI
2 - 1
ROA
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
CER
7 - 1
AVI
81%
13%
6%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
AVI
1 - 2
URA
22%
26%
52%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
MON
0 - 5
AVI
46%
27%
27%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |