Shonan Bellmare vs Albirex Niigata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
16.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shonan Bellmare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
5 - 0
SHO
67%
20%
14%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ALB
0 - 2
SHO
44%
26%
31%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
SHO
2 - 1
KAA
26%
24%
50%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
FCT
1 - 2
SHO
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SHO
0 - 1
MON
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 1
CER
34%
26%
40%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
KAR
1 - 1
ALB
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ALB
0 - 2
SHO
44%
26%
31%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
NAG
4 - 2
ALB
48%
25%
27%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -3 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ALB
2 - 0
MAT
70%
19%
11%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |