Sholing vs Swindon Supermarine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
40.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
5º
19º
19º
36
8º
22º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 96 |
1º
|
76.5% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 90 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 77 |
3º
|
36.5% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 76 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 73 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 68 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 63 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 60 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 57 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 57 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 54 |
11º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 54 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 52 |
13º
|
6% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 50 |
14º
|
11.5% | |
|
21º
|
25 | 46 |
15º
|
10% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 46 |
16º
|
7% | |
|
16º
|
31 | 46 |
17º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
30 | 45 |
18º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
32 | 44 |
19º
|
13% | |
|
19º
|
29 | 44 |
20º
|
12.5% | |
|
20º
|
26 | 40 |
21º
|
27% | |
|
22º
|
19 | 27 |
22º
|
91.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
63% | 95.5% |
|
Relegation
|
37% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sholing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2025 |
GOS
4 - 1
SHO
66%
20%
15%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 3
SHO
30%
23%
47%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
SHO
0 - 1
WIM
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
AFT
2 - 1
SHO
78%
15%
8%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
SHO
2 - 1
PLY
54%
23%
24%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2025 |
SWI
1 - 3
HUN
46%
21%
33%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
SWI
2 - 2
HAN
44%
22%
34%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
GLO
3 - 1
SWI
59%
19%
23%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
FRO
3 - 0
SWI
22%
20%
58%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
AFT
2 - 1
SWI
74%
16%
10%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | -1 |