Shkupi vs FK Vardar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
10.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
1º
12º
3º
37
8º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shkupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FKA
1 - 3
SHK
8%
15%
77%
|
66 | 21 | 45 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
VOK
0 - 0
SHK
26%
27%
46%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
SHK
3 - 2
RAB
66%
22%
13%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
BRE
0 - 0
SHK
22%
26%
52%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SHK
0 - 0
TIK
62%
22%
15%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 1
SHK
22%
26%
52%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
GOS
0 - 0
VAR
54%
25%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 0
RAB
38%
28%
35%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
SHK
3 - 0
VAR
64%
23%
14%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 0
BRE
36%
26%
38%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |