Shkupi vs KF Shkëndija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
11º
2º
54
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 99.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shkupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
SHK
4 - 0
ZAL
28%
23%
49%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
SHK
1 - 4
PAK
46%
24%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
DTB
0 - 2
SHK
68%
18%
14%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
SHK
2 - 1
59%
20%
21%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
SHK
4 - 2
POB
79%
14%
7%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
KF Shkëndija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
SHK
2 - 2
VAL
19%
21%
60%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
SHK
0 - 1
DYN
20%
23%
57%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
SHK
0 - 2
CSK
26%
26%
48%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SHK
1 - 1
NSM
30%
25%
45%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2023 |
VOK
2 - 2
SHK
15%
18%
67%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |