Shkupi vs Makedonija GP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
11º
2º
39
5º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 27% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 73% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shkupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
SHK
2 - 1
SHK
46%
25%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SIL
0 - 2
SHK
42%
28%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
SHK
3 - 0
BRE
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
TIK
0 - 0
SHK
30%
27%
43%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
POB
0 - 6
SHK
12%
23%
65%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Makedonija GP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
MAK
7 - 0
POB
77%
17%
6%
|
68 | 44 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SHK
3 - 1
MAK
42%
28%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
MAK
2 - 1
FKS
69%
21%
10%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
SIL
1 - 0
MAK
37%
27%
36%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
MAK
0 - 0
AKP
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |