Shkupi vs FK Pobeda AD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.2%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.2%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
8.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
11º
2º
13
9º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 63 |
2º
|
94.5% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 58 |
3º
|
94% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 51 |
4º
|
98.5% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 42 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 42 |
6º
|
27.5% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 41 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
33% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
51.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 25 |
11º
|
83.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
97% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shkupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
FKS
0 - 2
SHK
20%
28%
52%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
KFB
1 - 0
SHK
66%
20%
15%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
SHK
1 - 2
KFB
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SHK
2 - 1
MAK
43%
27%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
SHK
1 - 2
SHR
28%
26%
46%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FK Pobeda AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MAK
4 - 1
POB
71%
19%
10%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
POB
0 - 1
TIK
28%
26%
46%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
FCS
3 - 0
POB
66%
22%
12%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
AKP
4 - 3
POB
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
POB
2 - 2
EGN
27%
25%
48%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |