Shkupi vs KF Besa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
3º
11º
3º
4
9º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
11 | 42 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 38 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
5 | 36 |
3º
|
14.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 34 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
2º
|
11 | 34 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 31 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 29 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
6º
|
6 | 28 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 26 |
9º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 22 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
4 | 21 |
11º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 20 |
12º
|
36% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
11% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
27% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
52% | 20.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8% | 29.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2% | 46.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shkupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
XHE
0 - 8
SHK
6%
14%
81%
|
64 | 7 | 57 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SHK
1 - 1
SHK
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SIL
2 - 1
SHK
32%
28%
40%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SHK
3 - 0
VAR
68%
21%
12%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
GOS
2 - 0
SHK
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
KF Besa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
OHR
1 - 5
BES
18%
22%
61%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
AKP
3 - 2
BES
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BES
1 - 3
SHK
17%
22%
61%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
BES
0 - 0
RAB
36%
28%
36%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BES
1 - 0
TIK
29%
26%
44%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |