Q. Europa League Ronda previa Final
Global 0-1
Shirak vs Zaglebie Lubin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
28.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1995 |
ZAL
0 - 0
SHI
66%
19%
15%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Zaglebie Lubin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1995 |
SLA
1 - 1
ZAL
42%
28%
31%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1995 |
ZAL
0 - 0
SHI
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1995 |
ZAL
5 - 1
STA
64%
22%
15%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1995 |
WAR
1 - 0
ZAL
56%
25%
20%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1995 |
WAR
1 - 3
ZAL
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +1 |