Q. Europa League Ronda Preliminar Final
Global 1-6
Shirak vs Shakhter Karagandy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
30.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2014 |
ARA
1 - 4
SHI
29%
28%
43%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
SHI
3 - 1
ULI
70%
20%
11%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
BAN
3 - 1
SHI
38%
27%
35%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
SHI
2 - 0
MIK
56%
25%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
SHI
4 - 1
ALA
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Shakhter Karagandy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2014 |
SHA
4 - 1
KAI
56%
24%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2014 |
ORD
2 - 1
SHA
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2014 |
SHA
1 - 0
FCI
44%
25%
31%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
SHA
3 - 0
ZHE
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
ATY
3 - 2
SHA
28%
29%
43%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |