Q. Europa League Ronda Previa Final
Global 0-6
Shirak vs Nordsjaelland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
23%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2003 |
FCN
4 - 0
SHI
52%
23%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
SHI
5 - 3
KOT
78%
14%
8%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2003 |
MIK
3 - 0
SHI
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
ARA
0 - 4
SHI
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2003 |
SHI
5 - 0
ARA
64%
21%
16%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nordsjaelland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
FCN
1 - 3
BKF
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
FCK
2 - 1
FCN
62%
22%
17%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2003 |
FCN
4 - 0
SHI
52%
23%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2003 |
FCN
2 - 0
OBK
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2003 |
AGF
2 - 2
FCN
42%
24%
34%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |