Q. Europa League Primera Ronda Final
Global 2-4
Shirak vs ND Gorica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
38.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2017 |
PYU
1 - 1
SHI
43%
25%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
SHI
0 - 0
GAN
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
ALA
3 - 1
SHI
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
SHI
3 - 0
PYU
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
ARA
2 - 3
SHI
21%
26%
53%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
ND Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2017 |
IST
1 - 3
GOR
22%
25%
53%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
FCK
0 - 1
GOR
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
GOR
1 - 0
OLI
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
DOM
1 - 1
GOR
53%
25%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
GOR
2 - 1
RUD
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | +1 |