Shirak vs BKMA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
8º
7º
32
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
SYU
1 - 5
SHI
9%
13%
78%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
SHI
1 - 2
LER
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
NOA
1 - 3
SHI
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
SHI
1 - 1
VAN
50%
27%
24%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
ALA
3 - 0
SHI
46%
27%
28%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
BKMA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
BKM
0 - 1
NOA
30%
23%
47%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
AVA
1 - 0
BKM
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BKM
2 - 1
ARA
27%
27%
47%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
PYU
3 - 1
BKM
60%
24%
16%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
BKM
1 - 4
BAN
23%
26%
51%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |