Shirak vs Ararat Yerevan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
29.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
8º
7º
37
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
80 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
76 | 76 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
66 | 66 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2023 |
SHI
0 - 4
PYU
29%
28%
43%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
BAN
3 - 1
SHI
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
SHI
1 - 1
BKM
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
SHI
1 - 0
LER
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
NOA
3 - 3
SHI
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ararat Yerevan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2023 |
AVA
2 - 1
ARA
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
ARA
2 - 4
ALA
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 2
PYU
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 0
BAN
35%
28%
37%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
BKM
0 - 1
ARA
31%
27%
42%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | +1 |