Shirak vs Ararat Yerevan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
+3
11.3%
2-0
16%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
18.6%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.9%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
10.3%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
FCL
3 - 1
SHI
45%
28%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
SHI
1 - 3
NOA
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
SHI
0 - 0
BAN
46%
28%
26%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SHI
3 - 0
NOA
63%
24%
13%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
NOA
0 - 0
SHI
30%
24%
47%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Ararat Yerevan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ARA
0 - 1
AVA
30%
26%
44%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
ARA
3 - 1
FCL
88%
9%
4%
|
53 | 11 | 42 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ALA
2 - 1
ARA
78%
15%
6%
|
53 | 75 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
GAN
4 - 0
ARA
71%
19%
9%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
FCL
1 - 1
ARA
7%
15%
78%
|
55 | 10 | 45 | 0 |