Shirak vs Ararat Yerevan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
16.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2012 |
SHI
1 - 1
MIK
26%
29%
45%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
MIK
2 - 1
SHI
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
GAN
1 - 2
SHI
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
SHI
3 - 1
IMP
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SHI
1 - 0
IMP
18%
22%
59%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Ararat Yerevan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2012 |
GAN
1 - 0
ARA
76%
16%
7%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 1
GAN
20%
26%
55%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 3
PYU
18%
25%
58%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
BAN
2 - 0
ARA
85%
11%
4%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 1
ULI
18%
26%
56%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | +1 |