Shirak II vs Mika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
58.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
9º
8º
36
5º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shirak II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
GAN
2 - 1
SHI
77%
16%
7%
|
41 | 62 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
SHI
0 - 2
BKM
20%
23%
57%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
SYU
1 - 2
SHI
63%
21%
17%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
SHI
3 - 2
ALA
65%
18%
16%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
SHI
3 - 0
LAR
64%
18%
18%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Mika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MIK
1 - 1
BAN
55%
23%
22%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
PYU
0 - 1
MIK
40%
23%
37%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
ARA
4 - 0
MIK
45%
24%
32%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
WAR
7 - 1
MIK
53%
24%
23%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MIK
2 - 1
ARA
47%
26%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |