Shirak II vs Lernayin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
51.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shirak II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
MIK
0 - 1
SHI
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SHI
1 - 0
BKM
18%
22%
61%
|
42 | 61 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ONO
5 - 2
SHI
7%
14%
79%
|
45 | 8 | 37 | -3 |
| 29 Aug. 2023 |
SHI
1 - 2
GAN
10%
21%
69%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
PYU
2 - 1
SHI
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lernayin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2023 |
MIK
3 - 0
LER
34%
25%
41%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2023 |
LER
1 - 3
BKM
36%
27%
37%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
ONO
1 - 2
LER
8%
17%
74%
|
56 | 7 | 49 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
LER
2 - 0
GAN
22%
25%
53%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
PYU
2 - 0
LER
38%
25%
38%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -1 |