Shirak II vs Ararat II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
74.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.2%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
9º
8º
57
1º
4º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shirak II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
WAR
2 - 1
SHI
82%
13%
6%
|
32 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
SHI
1 - 2
MIK
12%
22%
66%
|
32 | 68 | 36 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
GAN
2 - 0
SHI
77%
16%
7%
|
32 | 61 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
SHI
1 - 3
BKM
11%
18%
72%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
SYU
2 - 0
SHI
82%
13%
5%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Ararat II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
ARA
7 - 3
BAN
57%
21%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
PYU
4 - 1
ARA
45%
23%
32%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
ARA
4 - 0
LAR
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
ARA
4 - 1
ARA
58%
22%
21%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
WAR
0 - 2
ARA
68%
18%
14%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |