Shirak II vs Ararat-Armenia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
56.5%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
9º
8º
55
3º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shirak II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2023 |
BAN
0 - 0
SHI
72%
17%
12%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
SHI
1 - 0
PYU
20%
21%
59%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
SHI
1 - 1
ARA
18%
22%
60%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
WAR
3 - 1
SHI
79%
14%
7%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
SHI
2 - 0
MIK
19%
23%
58%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Ararat-Armenia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2023 |
ARA
3 - 0
MIK
49%
23%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
BAN
2 - 2
ARA
42%
24%
34%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ARA
4 - 5
GAN
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
PYU
0 - 3
ARA
47%
23%
30%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
ARA
0 - 6
BKM
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |