Shirak II vs Alashkert II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
16.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
9º
8º
23
9º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 60 |
4º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
80% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
2 | 6 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shirak II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
SHI
3 - 0
LAR
64%
18%
18%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
ARA
1 - 0
SHI
81%
13%
6%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SHI
0 - 0
BAN
20%
22%
58%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
PYU
0 - 2
SHI
86%
10%
4%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +3 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
ARA
2 - 1
SHI
86%
10%
4%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Alashkert II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
BAN
5 - 2
ALA
81%
13%
6%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
ALA
3 - 4
PYU
9%
16%
75%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ALA
0 - 2
ARA
9%
16%
75%
|
31 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2022 |
WAR
5 - 0
ALA
79%
14%
7%
|
32 | 61 | 29 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ALA
0 - 3
MIK
16%
21%
63%
|
32 | 60 | 28 | 0 |