Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Volga Novgorod analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
36.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shinnik Yaroslavl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2011 |
DIN
0 - 1
YAR
29%
28%
43%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2011 |
YAR
2 - 1
BAL
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 3
YAR
31%
28%
41%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2011 |
ZHE
2 - 3
YAR
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2011 |
YAR
2 - 1
GAZ
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Volga Novgorod
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
TOM
0 - 3
VNN
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
FCR
2 - 0
VNN
64%
23%
13%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
VNN
0 - 2
ZEN
23%
24%
53%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2011 |
KRA
4 - 2
VNN
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2011 |
VNN
2 - 0
KRS
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |