Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Spartak Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
52.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shinnik Yaroslavl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
DIN
2 - 0
YAR
63%
23%
14%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
YAR
1 - 2
PER
44%
29%
27%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
KHI
0 - 0
YAR
54%
26%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
YAR
0 - 1
TOM
43%
28%
29%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
ZEN
1 - 3
YAR
76%
17%
8%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +2 |
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
SPA
0 - 1
FCR
60%
22%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2008 |
BAN
0 - 1
SPA
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
FKM
2 - 1
SPA
40%
26%
34%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
SPA
2 - 1
NAL
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
DYN
4 - 1
SPA
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |