Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Saturn Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
26.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shinnik Yaroslavl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2004 |
CSK
1 - 1
YAR
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
TOR
2 - 0
YAR
67%
20%
13%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
YAR
1 - 2
TER
54%
24%
23%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
YAR
1 - 1
FCR
51%
26%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2004 |
TER
0 - 0
YAR
38%
27%
35%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Saturn Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2004 |
SAT
1 - 1
FCR
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
SAT
2 - 0
ROT
59%
23%
19%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
CSK
2 - 0
SAT
65%
21%
14%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
SAT
1 - 1
FKM
63%
23%
15%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
SAT
2 - 0
FCR
62%
22%
15%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |