Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Saturn Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
24.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shinnik Yaroslavl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
DIN
1 - 2
YAR
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
YAR
2 - 2
ROT
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
FCR
1 - 0
YAR
43%
27%
31%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
YAR
1 - 2
SPA
36%
25%
40%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
TOR
1 - 1
YAR
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Saturn Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
SAT
0 - 3
FKM
77%
16%
7%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
KRS
3 - 1
SAT
44%
28%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
SAT
2 - 2
ALA
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
CSK
1 - 1
SAT
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
LOK
2 - 1
SAT
59%
24%
17%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |