Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.3%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
10%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shinnik Yaroslavl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
YAR
3 - 0
ZHE
81%
14%
5%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
YAR
5 - 0
DIN
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
GAZ
1 - 2
YAR
27%
28%
45%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2011 |
URA
0 - 2
YAR
50%
27%
23%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
VLA
2 - 1
YAR
28%
30%
42%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2011 |
DIN
1 - 0
CHE
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 1
YEN
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 1
SIB
21%
25%
54%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
TOR
0 - 2
CHE
51%
26%
24%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
NIZ
1 - 0
CHE
67%
21%
13%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |