Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
24.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shinnik Yaroslavl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1998 |
YAR
2 - 1
NOS
79%
15%
6%
|
73 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1998 |
YAR
1 - 2
CSK
32%
28%
40%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
SPA
3 - 1
YAR
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1998 |
YAR
3 - 2
TYU
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1998 |
BAL
3 - 1
YAR
47%
27%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Chernomorets Novorossisk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1998 |
CHE
3 - 1
SPA
26%
24%
50%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1998 |
TYU
0 - 3
CHE
33%
28%
40%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1998 |
CHE
2 - 1
BAL
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1998 |
KRS
3 - 0
CHE
47%
27%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1998 |
CHE
2 - 0
ELI
60%
23%
18%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |