League Cup Last 16
Global 3-4
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Albirex Niigata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shimizu S-Pulse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
JUB
2 - 1
SHI
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SHI
0 - 0
FCY
48%
26%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
SHI
18%
26%
56%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SHI
3 - 3
CER
46%
26%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
SHI
3 - 0
OMI
59%
23%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Albirex Niigata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ALB
2 - 2
KAA
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 0
ALB
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
ALB
0 - 0
OMI
60%
24%
17%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
VIS
2 - 1
ALB
42%
28%
30%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
ALB
2 - 3
URA
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |